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10/09/2007 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - No Hines Ward or Santonio Homes, the starting wideouts? No Casey Hampton or Troy Polamalu, two Pro Bowl defenders? No problem for the Pittsburgh Steelers, who again stated their case for elite status with a formulaic 21-0 suffocation of the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday.
With the above players working the sideline in street clothes due to injury, you might have expected head coach Mike Tomlin to resort to gimmicks to get his team its fourth win of the season. But you would have been incorrect in that prediction, because the Steelers looked every bit like the Steelers in the victory.
They ran the football a total of 41 times, with Willie Parker (28 carries, 102 yards) bringing the lightning and Najeh Davenport (7 carries, 58 yards) the thunder. It was Davenport who elicited the day's biggest cheers from the Heinz Field crowd, scoring on second-half runs of one and five yards and capping off two seemingly endless drives.
That march was emblematic of an afternoon when the Seahawks defense simply couldn't get off the field. Four different Pittsburgh drives took up 4:49 or more of clock time, including a 17-play march to begin the third quarter that used up 10:17 and actually included 110 Steeler yards. Thirty yards worth of penalties forced Tomlin's team to have to tread the same territory more that once, but also kept the ball out of the hands of Matt Hasselbeck and the Seattle offense for that much longer.
The Steelers ended the day with a whopping 40:45-to-19:15 edge in time of possession, a figure that the vaunted Pittsburgh defense had a little something to do with as well.
Seattle had 10 drives on the day, and Dick LeBeau's defensive group forced punts on nine of them. The one that didn't result in a Ryan Plackemeier punt was ended by Steelers cornerback Ike Taylor, who denied the Seahawks their best chance at points all day by intercepting Matt Hasselbeck in the end zone as the first half neared its end.
That drive, at seven plays and 54 yards, was Seattle's best of the day. No other Seahawks march yielded more than six snaps or 18 yards. One of the most consistently strong offenses of the past few years was left with eight first downs and 144 total yards as they departed the Steel City. Amazing.
Even the usually even-keel Tomlin sounded impressed.
"They showed their character today," said Tomlin. "It is something that I knew we had. It was a total team effort...They remained unwavered in the face of adversity. They stuck together. They delivered. The things that we talked about since day one, they displayed today. As a coach, you feel good when you see that."
The shutout was the first for the team since they blanked Cleveland on the road, 41-0, in Week 16 of the Super Bowl season of 2005. To find the most recent previous Heinz Field blanking, you have to go all the way back to Week 8 of the 2000 season, also a whitewashing of the Browns.
But neither of those Bill Cowher-era games came against opponents as generally well-respected as the NFC West-leading Seahawks, and neither came when the Steelers were fighting through a rash of significant injuries.
That Pittsburgh could move to 4-1, in decisive fashion, without a quartet of its heaviest hitters, speaks to this team's staying power on the AFC scene. The Patriots and Colts look like the teams to beat in the NFL at this stage, but neither of those clubs, nor any of the other 29 units from coast to coast, would be wise to want a piece of the Steelers right now.
This team is clearly playing as well as anyone in the league right now, and is intent on bringing it every week, no matter the circumstances.
"They don't put asterisks beside wins and losses," said Tomlin. "Regardless of who's playing, we are the Pittsburgh Steelers."
PASSING FANCY
He didn't string together a number of highlight-reel throws, but Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger might have had one of his best days as a pro on Sunday, given the absence of his top two receivers.
With Ward (knee) out for a second straight game and Holmes (hamstring) rendered unavailable just before kickoff, Roethlisberger still managed to complete an impressive 18-of-22 passes for 206 yards, including a 13-yard touchdown to tight end Heath Miller to open the scoring in the second quarter.
The fourth-year pro also managed to put some distance between himself and his last performance against the Seahawks, in Super Bowl XL, when he posted the lowest passer rating by a winning quarterback in Super Bowl history.
"I hope I'm always a leader out there," said Big Ben of Sunday's effort." When you lose guys, you have to count on guys to step up. Today was one of those things where I took it upon my shoulders to say 'I've got to be able to count on those guys.'...That's the biggest thing -- they have confidence in me, and I have confidence in them, and we found a way to get it done."
Roethlisberger's favorite target on the day was Cedrick Wilson, who caught five balls for 69 yards in arguably his most productive regular season outing since coming to the Steelers from the 49ers via free agency in 2005.
SIMPLY THE BEST?
Following their performance against the Seahawks, the Steelers ascended to the top of several NFL defensive categories.
Pittsburgh jumped ahead of New England into the top spot on the NFL total defense chart, as it is now surrendering just 235.6 yards per game, and is also first in scoring defense with only 9.4 points per game allowed.
Tomlin's crew is second in the league in passing defense (145.6 yards per game), with Week 7 opponent Denver the only team better, and is in a three-way tie with the Giants and Bears for the NFL lead in sacks (17).
The Steelers are also first in yards allowed per play (4.2), and are second in first downs allowed per game (13.4) behind only division rival Baltimore.
On the offensive end, the Steelers rank behind only Oakland, which has played one fewer game, in rushing offense (167 yards per game), and Willie Parker re- assumed the individual lead in rushing yards (507) following his fourth 100- yard game of the campaign.
NEXT UP: BYE WEEK
The Steelers will have the opportunity to nurse their injuries during their designated bye week, following which Pittsburgh will travel to Denver to face the Broncos in a Sunday night contest.
Tomlin said Monday that he expects to have Ward, Holmes, Hampton (hamstring) and Polamalu (torn rib cartilage) back in Week 7, though reserve cornerback Bryant McFadden (high ankle sprain) might be unable to return.
The Steelers are 10-8 all-time following the bye week.
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<< 2007 VS. COLORADO
BATTERS AVG OBA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EHammock .400 .455 10 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Salazar .375 .545 8 3 3 1 1 0 2 3 3 2 0 0Smith .333 .3
<< 2007 VS. CLEVELAND
BATTERS AVG OBA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS ERamirez .417 .517 24 7 10 4 0 3 7 5 4 0 0 0Pedroia .370 .433 27 3 10 2 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 0Clayton .364 .4
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The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on college football needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
To visit this internet sportsbook go to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting and World Series odds.
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