Brazil crushes Chile to reach quarterfinals

Soccer Betting Lines

06/28/2010 - Johannesburg, South Africa (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Juan and Luis Fabiano scored in a four-minute stretch late in the first half, and Brazil cruised to a 3-0 win over Chile on Monday to reach the quarterfinals of the FIFA World Cup.

Juan opened the scoring in the 34th minute and Fabiano added his third goal of the tournament in the 38th. Robinho ended the scoring at Free State Stadium in the 59th.

Brazil will play the Netherlands on Friday in the quarterfinals after the Dutch beat Slovakia, 2-1, on Monday.

Chile also lost to Brazil twice in World Cup qualifying, 3-0 and 4-2.

Brazil created more scoring chances from the start, and Gilberto Silva forced an early save from Chile goalkeeper Claudio Bravo inside 10 minutes. Ramires had a speculative effort go off target in the 15th for Brazil, then neither team was very threatening for an extended spell.

The Brazilians returned to form in the 34th minute when Juan reached a corner kick from Maicon and turned it inside the left post from the edge of the six- yard box. Maicon's corner was placed perfectly into a triangle of Brazilians, and Juan rose to head the ball just as it cleared Fabiano.

With Chile still on its heels, Brazil struck again on a counter attack three minutes later. Maicon played a quick ball out of the back to Fabiano, who sent Robinho down the left. Robinho eventually squared the ball to Kaka, who slipped a pass to Fabiano at the edge of the area.

Fabiano turned as he accepted the pass, made one touch to round Bravo and then fired into an empty net for his third goal of the World Cup.

Brazil continued to expose Chile's defense, which was without starting center backs Gary Medel and Waldo Ponce, in the second half.

Ramires made a darting run through midfield and dropped a pass off to Robinho near the top of the area and he curled a first-time shot by Bravo and inside the right post.

Dani Alves' long blast swerved just wide of the upper-right corner in the 61st minute as Brazil pushed for more goals.

Jorge Valdivia drove an 18-yard shot just over the crossbar on a rare scoring chance for Chile, but Kaka was back at it on the other end seconds later with a shot over the bar from 22 yards.

Robinho was denied a second goal in the 74th when Bravo tipped his effort wide of the left post, then Chile actually showed some life in the last 15 minutes.

Suazo had an effort pushed wide by Brazil goalie Julio Cesar in the 75th, then hit the top of the crossbar in the 78th. Chile could not find a goal, though, as it failed to score a goal for the first time in this World Cup.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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